Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.812134 0.955751 1.111035 1.290660 1.491945 1.709783 1.962573
2025-03-16 0.545353 0.734763 0.960435 1.245399 1.591688 1.994881 2.495584
2025-03-23 0.410654 0.626759 0.907578 1.289622 1.785495 2.396742 3.195542
2025-03-30 0.317097 0.544512 0.864540 1.329400 1.967324 2.791240 3.912550
2025-04-06 0.233974 0.453710 0.788630 1.306753 2.055524 3.064210 4.486973
2025-04-13 0.183884 0.399166 0.751789 1.327956 2.197658 3.410460 5.171043
2025-04-20 0.143757 0.349721 0.711793 1.334872 2.313918 3.722458 5.820029
2025-04-27 0.113417 0.309100 0.677482 1.342973 2.427716 4.032529 6.476768
2025-05-04 0.088033 0.270290 0.638194 1.335436 2.512768 4.301168 7.082759
2025-05-11 0.065985 0.230959 0.589665 1.303870 2.553431 4.501722 7.594608
2025-05-18 0.052371 0.206852 0.565779 1.311595 2.656237 4.798791 8.257736
2025-05-25 0.038940 0.177408 0.524453 1.280480 2.688604 4.984886 8.758352
2025-06-01 0.030614 0.159645 0.506178 1.293313 2.801259 5.309403 9.493195
2025-06-08 0.022863 0.139559 0.478232 1.283309 2.872646 5.571668 10.144570
2025-06-15 0.019510 0.133828 0.484494 1.344865 3.078563 6.064312 11.176036
2025-06-22 0.016224 0.126417 0.484814 1.393378 3.262847 6.528276 12.177532
2025-06-29 0.011690 0.109721 0.455810 1.373144 3.314226 6.768831 12.827925
2025-07-06 0.009161 0.100807 0.446738 1.396631 3.450913 7.160085 13.734214
2025-07-13 0.006884 0.090874 0.431957 1.404470 3.556304 7.500194 14.566237
2025-07-20 0.005133 0.082092 0.418394 1.413183 3.663197 7.846144 15.417326
2025-07-27 0.003618 0.072550 0.399383 1.405470 3.734971 8.131226 16.174012
2025-08-03 0.002314 0.061788 0.372272 1.372684 3.750906 8.314738 16.763231
2025-08-10 0.001634 0.055796 0.361183 1.380746 3.853850 8.660164 17.636819